Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.925035 3.443036 3.995987 4.627042 5.324154 6.067676 6.917592
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.030196 2.702560 3.478603 4.427099 5.541690 6.797089 8.304932
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.436323 2.165319 3.073233 4.254745 5.719581 7.445529 9.601570
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.064149 1.813668 2.817060 4.198326 5.991008 8.182839 11.007572
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.789190 1.526595 2.587177 4.126417 6.208205 8.836806 12.315070
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.658046 1.417079 2.574672 4.325315 6.767482 9.924509 14.181576
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.515839 1.254664 2.456138 4.353243 7.084217 10.697846 15.660918
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.447490 1.201871 2.492190 4.597092 7.697972 11.870472 17.676173
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.382266 1.138229 2.498760 4.789746 8.239636 12.955114 19.595613
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.312188 1.045795 2.442352 4.874771 8.622142 13.826992 21.246112
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.238411 0.922115 2.312111 4.826831 8.799085 14.412370 22.517626
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.193675 0.851696 2.266855 4.908346 9.165430 15.263790 24.158616
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.153673 0.780959 2.214388 4.978345 9.524668 16.126992 25.853625
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.107706 0.670720 2.065310 4.867968 9.596267 16.578436 26.989588
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.071613 0.567755 1.911320 4.731558 9.614384 16.946572 28.011294
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.049502 0.498444 1.817634 4.693890 9.784456 17.536293 29.350477
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.032162 0.431395 1.714889 4.627267 9.899238 18.041422 30.573570
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.027056 0.423952 1.759096 4.848069 10.500170 19.287752 32.875914
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018514 0.384135 1.711432 4.881007 10.781495 20.052802 34.493903
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.016155 0.385868 1.776706 5.146212 11.467604 21.447099 37.041511
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.013150 0.378235 1.814227 5.355145 12.060811 22.707241 39.408515
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009171 0.353245 1.797019 5.447334 12.451512 23.659799 41.336878
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.004990 0.310140 1.715767 5.395706 12.584642 24.211854 42.682154